MR: Top 10 Video Properties & Streaming Stats

25 10 2006

Actually, what I find most interesting here is why MLB’s streams / streamer are so low in comparison to the others. Is it a format issue, (length of stream)? Integration / focus? Too tight a concentration on a single content type? Can’t be that it’s avail on TV, as that would affect Time Warner, as well. Well, since I’ve never gone to the MLB site, s’pose I’ll have to go check it out… :)

Top 10 Video Properties Ranked by Unique U.S. Streamers July 2006 (Total U.S. - Home/Work/University Locations)

Property

Unique U.S. Streamers

(000)

Streams Initiated by U.S. Users (MM)

Share of Total Internet Streams

Streams per Streamer

Total Internet

106,534

7,182

100%

67.4

Yahoo! Sites

37,934

812

11%

21.4

MySpace

37,422

1,459

20%

39.0

YouTube

30,538

649

9%

21.2

Time Warner Network

25,675

258

4%

10.1

Microsoft Site

16,227

156

2%

9.6

Viacom Digital

14,077

322

4%

22.9

Google Sites

7,520

60

1%

7.9

Ebaums World

7,143

67

1%

9.4

MLB

6,442

30

< 1%

4.6

ROO Group Inc.

5,841

186

3%

31.9

Source: comScore Video Metrix



Google Agrees to Censor Results in China

24 01 2006

A follow-on to my moment on NPR. The not offering Gmail or Blogger in China’s a nice touch. We’ll see how long that holds. More



Ahhhhh - Comment Spam!!!!

21 10 2005

I know I am hardly the first blogger to deal with this situation, but wanted to send along a nice, positive “may you roast upon a firey spit” to our friends working with Online Poker and Phentermine, (there, you got your one mention, and no, you’re not getting the links). Now piss off, (and yes, I know perfectly well that not only is there not a chance in hell that these folks are actually listening, but even less of a chance of them actually heeding me, but sometimes a good “shaking your fist at the sky” is important, nonetheless - keeps you strong on why you don’t want to engage in these kinds of business practices when confronted with folks who keep pushing to swim deeper and deeper toward the darkness! :) )

———

For those of you who don’t know what comment spam is, there are some seriously scummy companies - they used to work with porn, where they used to try game my index on ATW.com* all the time - but apparently have found online gaming and prescriptions at least as profitable - out there who build bots to find blogs, and then submit random, utterly unrelated crap as comments to those blogs, which include their links, trying first and foremost to build up their Google PageRank** numbers, as well as hoping to get the maybe one in ten thousand folks who might actually click on to find out what this random non-sequitor is all about to actually engage.

For those blogs / forums that are unmoderated, these links go up, and if Google / Yahoo, etc., haven’t yet detected their most recent bit of random crap, (i.e. they change IP’s, emails, text, doorway pages, etc. all the time, and am sure have gotten smart enough to ensure that the true IP’s are entirely masked, and the ones they submit are sufficiently randomized so as to make it more difficult to connect) for at least a point in time, they get to profit from the connectivity calculations to boost their ranks within the algorithmic portion of these search engines, thereby attracting more extremely cheap leads, (though Teoma, in using their more “segmented only to the query” version of connectivity should at least isolate these idiots to fighting back and forth to only their own sewers).

Is forever the anti-spam / porn / spyware economic problem - there is much more profit for the companies doing this than there is for the companies trying to resist, (where usually doing a better job in dealing with is only a cost***). And so long as this remains the case, (which’ll be nigh unto forever) we’ll have to deal with, and lose the economic value of the time spent in all of us dealing with, (i.e. how much cash could we all generate in the same amount of time it takes us to moderate our blogs / forums to make these things go away and go away and go away…. And yes, I know WordPress 1.5+ has some method of decreasing comment spam, but afraid I haven’t yet been able to get my webhost to upgrade me beyond 1.0.x even after repeated requests - and yes, this indeed may turn out to be enough of an issue for me to move webhosts - or, via the extreme power of inertia - it may not! ;) )
————

* Have I told you how much it hurts my heart every time I have to type the link to ATW anymore? What’s there is nothing more than a tired shell - my Old Girl, as a distinct entity, with its own advantages and disadvantages is long since gone, (though at least adding nicely to Yahoo). It’s as sad as when Disney bought Go.com, gutted it, refused to do any work to keep it up, refused to sell it, (I tried! :( ) and killed it through neglect, (and that wasn’t nearly as interesting a search engine) as happened with:

AV, (I almost never used, but I’m sure I’m far from alone in missing them having their full boolean advanced search - some things are important just to _be_ - as something in the World - even if only 4 people on the planet actually use - this is one of them), as happened with

Hotbot, as happened with

Northern Light, (one of my old personal favorites on the relevance front - from a business model perspective, were clearly always one of the weirdest), as happened with

….,

but as will unfortunately never happen with MSN even though looking at the mistakes that they continue to make that all of us already went through and solved years ago, it probably should, (but MS has to remain MS, and do it their own way - their focus has always been on how things can be best for them, rather than how they can be best for the consumer, and luckily, they have more than enough cash to continue to totally not care, and there are more than enough people whose most important market trait is inertia).

** And yes, I’m well-aware that Google doesn’t actually use PageRank, the algorithm, anymore. Am referring to the PageRank _concept_ - i.e. weighted link popularity to approximate concepts of authority, which I’m sure they’ll always use in one way or another, (if only to keep a tight, well-understood PR message). And if you’re _seriously_ picking these kind of nits, am sure there are plenty of other folks who would be much better foils for random, senseless and otherwise unproductive argument, (i.e. I never understood the point of debating, either).

*** Even for the anti-spyware guys, who do get comped specifically to fight, they get comped to remove stuff, and if that means wiping out a whole mess of false positives, who cares? They don’t get paid to work hard on parsing the nice ones from the nasties, they get paid to make things go away, plain and simple, with the specific exception of never tagging Google or Yahoo since the bad PR would kill them, regardless of the practices of their apps - i.e. did you know that if you have the PageRank button active on your Google toolbar, (which is the default condition) that they’re watching literally every single site that you, your husband, your wife, your children, go to, (though I suppose if your child is an early-pubescent, it might be a good thing to scare him a bit about people watching what he’s watching! ;) )? Did you know further that both Google and Yahoo update their toolbars to do whatever they’ve chosen to do without your knowledge or consent? This stuff certainly scares the bejesus out of me!



Pet Peeve - Javascript

20 10 2005

I’m hardly an anti-javascript zealot, (in fact, there are many times where I’ve been a strong proponent, and am definitely interested in where AJAX could go) but I do have to say I definitely find it highly irritating that when I go to a new website without javascript activated, I either get absolutely nothing, some random jumble of text, and/or can’t navigate at all. Come on, folks, javascript is supposed to _enhance_ the experience, not preclude it! :( And yes, as a user, given the horrible extent to which companies, (even ones with great brands) have abused javascript for use with pop-ups/-unders, it is definitely a wise idea to start with it turned off, and only enable for trusted sources!

If you’re one of the folks who went over to Firefox primarily to get away from the pop-up hell that is IE, (and/or because you believe that no one company should have the level of hegemony that MS has commanded for quite some time, especially not with the business practices that are all too tempting for any monopolist, but especially MS) you will have noticed that in the last few months, as our new friend has started getting some very strong browser penetration numbers, that some folks have started breaking through Firefox’s higher resistance to pop-ups, etc.

To get back the browsing environment that we got Firefox for in the first place, I _strongly_ recommend installing the NoScript extension, which defaults javascript off, but when you go onto a new site with javascript, it will pop a small band on the bottom of the browser to let you know that the site has javascript. You can then either choose to enable for that site either permanently or temporarily, and pretty much be back off to the races. Although a bit of a pain in the beginning, you do get used to it after a bit, and once you start seeing all the entities that are trying to do things to your computer without your knowledge/consent, you’ll never even think about browsing without it, (i.e. did you know that Sourceforge, the core of Open Source, no less, drops Tacoda tracking cookies on you when you go that site - come on, of all the sites that cater to some of the most psychotic online privacy proponents, SourceForge doing this?!).

Now, I actually understand and believe in the value of behavioral analysis, (both for search, where I first tried even before working on Alltheweb,* and now in advertising, though in the latter case, I honestly do find myself somewhat conflicted on the issue of tracking cookies - btw, in case you couldn’t guess, I also have y cookie settings set to prompt me before anything happens! :) ) but on a personal level, I do find myself feeling quite irritated when things happen to my PC that I didn’t _specifically_ ask to have happen, and since I’ve installed NoScript, and now seeing how many companies are trying to do all kinds of questionable things, I would _always_ suggest going to Firefox, installing NoScript, setting cookies to ionly be set by the given site, and then to have the site ask you whether it’s ok to cookie you.

I definitely _do_ wish NoScript would modify from being whitelist-only to providing a blacklist option based on popularity of folks submitting sites to be blacklisted to them, but having worked on similar technologies in a failed attempt to pull off a Safe Search version of ATW for Pax I know how this can quickly blossom into a _huge_ pain in the tail for even firms getting paid good money to solve, forget about random folks contributing personal time and effort to help out, (thank you, Giorgio!!! :) ).

——————–

* Was the basis for the search engine I designed while in B-School @ Babson. Yes, for those who have poked around a bit, that’s the “better version of Direct Hit before Direct Hit existed.” Taught me several very important lessons:

1) If you believe strongly enough in the value of something, don’t let yourself be dissuaded even if authority figures you respect tell you what you’re proposing is irrational / impossible. Heck, if you think about it, there’s nothing rational about Search in the first place: making not just one, but multiple copies of all the knowledge and experience of the entire planet? Most people don’t even think about how utterly insane that is, so when was any web search concept ever rational? ;)

2) Even for highly-capital intensive ventures, (of which, Search is definitely one) you can’t allow yourself to abandon a good idea because you’re not going to get funded. Now, back in ‘97-’99, when I was going to B-School, that was the proscription:

A. Business Plan
B. Management Team**
C. VC Funding
D. GO!

Now, in ‘05, Search is definitely coming back, so yes, there are at least the glimmers of hope, where 3 yrs ago, we were all trying to figure out how to “re-cast” Search on our resumes, since there were certainly no Search companies hiring, (at least here in the Greater Boston Area) and since there was a truly sick and disgusting semi-triumphant attitude to see those crushed in the post-Bubble fall, (i.e. early 30’s VP’s). And yes, there were many of us who _were_ jack-asses, (much of the Lycos staff coming immediately to mind - hated their partners, hated each other, bragged about so-and-so having been “shit-canned” after 6 months, the median lifetime of a Lycos person back then) but there were many of us who loved the Internet for the chance to do something extraordinary, to actually have an impact on the companies we were working for, rather than just being a random cog, and yes, for sure, to make enough in doing so both to make secure lives for our families, and to ensure that we could do it again a couple of years down the road when the funding sources told us we were out of our minds yet again, (i.e. do you honestly believe that Google could have become what it is today if it had tried to launch in the funding climate post-2000? As I said, though, am definitely pleased to see interest in Search coming back up - you’ll still have to bootstrap hard, and probably be able to make a go of it for a good 12-18 mths or so, which’ll be nigh unto a killer for many of us, but it’s still infinitely better than it was, but the question on Google post-2000 still stands…). Well, at least some folks are still living the Dream, and for the rest of us, Hope dawns again!! - And this time, there _will_ be a liquidity event before the financial markets choose to crush us again, and forget B2B - yes, it’s a very easy way to get good a good bunch of cash / traffic at one shot, but the very protracted last recession should have shown us all that corporations do _not_ behave rationally to their environment, refusing to invest even as the consumer economy remained very strong. B2C - takes longer, may need to be funded from some B2B endeavors while corporations remain “positive,” but so long as you’re providing a product / service that has value, individuals _will_ continue to consume, and you _will_ be able to survive through the down times. Businesses, as now well-established largely-economically-irrational actors will not.

Whew! Enough random catharsis for today, time to get back to productive uses - I have my own company to try to bootstrap for now, and prospecting’s not getting done while I sit here babbling about ancient history! ;)

————————-

** ‘Course, “Management Team” was always probably the hardest of those steps, especially during the up times, as anyone who was willing to shelf his idea, where he’s the CEO, for yours, where you are, probably wasn’t good enough to be on your Team, if you really wanted those “A-players” that everyone’s always spouting about. Still a huge issue for anyone who looks back into their history and sees tens / hundreds of millions, if not billions, in value fail to have been created by the companies that these folks were a part of, (i.e. how much are the folks from Excite, Lycos, AV, as well as me still kicking themselves in the tail on a nigh-unto daily basis? Ah well, get up, dust oneself off and move on, but yes, when the bills come due each month, and you’re still playing with mail float while trying to scrape by, as opposed to working on something that people the world over will truly appreciate, and which is thus truly joyful to work on, it does get hard….)



Another Hope for Real Search?

3 08 2005

Ok, so what’s actually managed to get me out of a 10-month hiatus to actually put up another blog post? Really, podcasting, (which I’ve been falling in love with over the last 1.5-2 mths) but that’s fodder for another post, (or 2 or 12). But at this precise moment, it’s an article in the Channel Register that’s talking about Yahoo re-assembling some of the old IBM Clever guys again, with speculation toward reviving at least some portion of IBM’s old Clever project.

Why’s this so inspiring? Several reasons. I first actually read about Clever in Scientific American back in ‘98 or so. At the time, even though officially I was (and am) a business guy, I was (and am) a total tech geek, and the beauty of the system that they described was so amazingly apparent in comparison to what was out there at the time, (yes, even our friend Google, who I remember thinking was a “cheap copy” of Clever at the time - ok, “more pragmatic” copy would probably be more appropriate - Clever could take 11 mins at query time, which was, of course, ludicrous, but from deep geekdom, it was like seeing the Mona Lisa and then thinking about a poster of some other girl - the latter was much more practical, but nowhere near as breathtaking - see, told you - was and will always be, first and foremost a math geek, so I very much to this day see beauty in elegance rather than bludgeon) that I literally fell as close to in love with a search technology as one could.

Actually, not too long before the time that that article came out, I had been working on a business plan for a new kind of search engine for the business plan competition as part of my evening MBA with Babson, (back then, winning Babson’s business plan contest was an excellent way of getting real funding and being able to actually make a real company, so we all worked mighty hard on pulling it off). In essence, it was a better version of Direct Hit, before Direct Hit launched, using user clicks as the prime mechanism to improve relevance sorts, but with the addition of a strong user profiling component, so that it only would use the clicks of folks “like you” to define your sort for a given query, and of those people like someone else when they issued the same query.

Knew the marketing side of the business would be much easier, (to Direct Hit’s absolute credit, to this day there is no company’s tagline that I love better than what theirs was - “One Site, Millions of Minds” - perfection - simple, totally got the concept across - wondrous! :) ) so spent 6 months figuring out the tech side, i.e.:

- How much could you know about someone the first time they came to you - what things would be the best to use and to what degree - IP resolution, (removing all entries from Vienna, VA, of course; all the AOL folks) associating the person with the user group for which his search term was most populous, etc., etc.

- How, and to what level, could you refine the user’s profile given his query and click patterns, frequencies, etc., other data that you might be able to infer from offline sources, based on the data you could pull, (most notably, via IP, allowing for the error that the IP is actually where your provider connects, not you, which can radically affect the usefulness of this variable).

- How would you know when the user’s behavior suggested a subclass of whatever class you had him currently a part of vs. when you should migrate him to another segment tree, etc., etc., (hey, I told you I was a geek at heart - the business side is how I try to make things actually come about! :) ).

Anyway, enough of the “Dylan’s Direct Hit before Direct Hit” story for now, (though I still find it interesting that I presented the concept in Wellesley, MA, and shortly thereafter a new company was founded in Wellesley, MA, but that’s something else…. I know, I know, and Kennedy was really killed by a hellish combination of Girl Scouts and escapees from Area 51… ;) ).

The second part of my interest (very short version) is that I was PM for Internet Search for Fast Search & Transfer from nigh unto the beginning in ‘99, (left in ‘01) which was bought out by Overture in ‘02, (I think) and thence by Yahoo, (4 mths thereafter) so if Yahoo is indeed working on bringing at least portions of Clever out of mothballs, and reunifying it with my Old Girl, that makes me happy on so many levels, (we actually did do a deal with IBM, and licensing some of Clever was discussed, but IBM decided they were going to figure out how to use by themselves, or nobody was). I truly miss the old discussions we used to have as to what defines relevance, to whom, what technologies / areas of R&D might improve, etc., etc. Awesome fun stuff to work on, and am working right now on figuring out how best to apply, (with no cash, of course - I have little-to-none, nor do I see a whole slew of VC’s dying to give me some! :) ).

And this time, when I want to do PFI or text P4P, (as I did in ‘00) or, much more importantly, the next thought on monetization, (since back then, I was in a good place to pull off - now, I’d have to be an idiot to go head-to-head vs. Google & Yahoo, but am sure there are plenty of holes around them) I won’t have to worry about speculation from others that doing so would isolate our B2B clients, (even after Google had done the same thing to Yahoo) even given that they had already pushed me from $4.00 per thousand queries down to $1.75 16 months later, (soon fully inverted to “I don’t pay you - you pay me $5.00 per thousand”).

$100M for the technology when Overture bought my Old Girl out, $1.5Bil when Yahoo bought Overture plus my technology 4 mths later, $23Bil+ Google IPO…. oh man, I could have been…. Stop… Not productive, except in once again reminding me that speculation belongs only as a way of educating tests in the actual open market, but it is the market, and not random speculation, that should determine what a company tries to do. And yes, I had Alltheweb.com, which we’d grown to 5.5M queries per day at that point, half of a Lycos, (when Lycos was actually impressive) so rather than costing me $1M a year in infrastructure costs to support, could have been…. Stop…. Again, would’ve, could’ve, should’ve - who cares - it’s done.

Ignore the still-sore spot, (obviously! :) ) read the Clever article. Hope that the guys can figure out how to use some of the better concepts from Clever such that it can respond in less than 11 mins, (i.e. beauty is certainly beauty, but it’s still better to actually make something a reality along a path and get better from there - if something only exists in a lab, it doesn’t exist) unify that with my Old Girl, (now also combined with AV & Inktomi) and bring something extraordinary about.

For me, gives me great hope - not just for Yahoo, (though, as you can tell, I still would love to see my Old Girl glow again - it’s been a bit, certainly now @ ATW.com, she’s barely even a shadow) but more importantly, in adding to the assertion that there indeed is still life in doing Search well. I have no cash, but I don’t care - at this moment, I am more pleased than I’ve been in a long time! :)

Now to figure out the hardest part of the solution that I’ve been trying to figure out for months, if not years - how the heck to work on, after work, while still putting the right amount of time into my wife and daughters, who are much more critical - if you find yourself lucky enough to be married to someone who was with you when you were (at least theoretically) worth a small fortune, and she stays with you when you’re once again worth nothing, without a moment of hesitation or recrimination, (other than the “don’t even talk to me about equity again!” ;) ) hold onto her for dear life - better than one in a million. And if you further are greeted every day when you come home, regardless of whatever happened, with smiles, loving hugs and excited squeals of “Daddy!!!” you’d be a flaming idiot, (and yes, this is preemptive for an elder me, just in case) to endanger that - for any reason - ever.